This article follows on from one from last month’s article reporting on excess mortality in Australia. I looked in detail at excess mortality in the age group 65-74, being the first narrow (10 year) age range, in the data available. Data for March 2022 is now out.
Wow. You’ve really outdone yourself with this one. Awesome.
I’ll need to re-read it a few more times to really appreciate it and comprehend it in its entirety.
If it isn’t hard enough seeing the true picture because of the 14 day trick for “cases”, I think it may be even worse than you’ve shown. My interpretation of the fine print in the NSW Surveillance Reports is that the vaccination status for severe outcomes (hospitalization, ICU and death) is taken at the “time of infection”, so the lag could be even greater i.e. 3 doses is counted as 2 doses if someone gets COVID within 14 days of the 3rd dose. For example, if a person got infected within the 14 days then had a severe outcome say 21 days later (close to 5 weeks after the 3rd jab) they’d still be counted as “2 effective doses” in the official stats.
Also, if you haven’t seen it yet, check out how doctors are supposed to “correctly” code COVID deaths per the WHO Guidelines. (I’ll add a link later when I find it). It will blow your mind how ridiculous the coding situation is. If there is even a whiff of COVID in the air “Death by COVID it shall be!”
Love your work Andrew! April data on the 29th. from ABS too.
Wow. You’ve really outdone yourself with this one. Awesome.
I’ll need to re-read it a few more times to really appreciate it and comprehend it in its entirety.
If it isn’t hard enough seeing the true picture because of the 14 day trick for “cases”, I think it may be even worse than you’ve shown. My interpretation of the fine print in the NSW Surveillance Reports is that the vaccination status for severe outcomes (hospitalization, ICU and death) is taken at the “time of infection”, so the lag could be even greater i.e. 3 doses is counted as 2 doses if someone gets COVID within 14 days of the 3rd dose. For example, if a person got infected within the 14 days then had a severe outcome say 21 days later (close to 5 weeks after the 3rd jab) they’d still be counted as “2 effective doses” in the official stats.
Also, if you haven’t seen it yet, check out how doctors are supposed to “correctly” code COVID deaths per the WHO Guidelines. (I’ll add a link later when I find it). It will blow your mind how ridiculous the coding situation is. If there is even a whiff of COVID in the air “Death by COVID it shall be!”