This is a short update on my previous article from a few days ago. I had come up with a number for the cumulative excess mortality in Australia and the number seemed a bit large as I thought about it afterwards. I had used a simple linear fit for the cumulative excess mortality in the “normal” times and extended that as a baseline. We assume that everything was “normal” prior to March 2021. I noted that it wasn’t a perfect fit as there was a bowl shape to the excess calculated in the normal times. This suggested I needed to do a more complicated fit. I did that and used a second order term and that seems to provide a pretty good fit. The result is below.
So by the ABS’s own numbers 9-10 times more people died of/ with covid after vaccination and with a “ milder” version of the virus? That worked well didn’t it! So many who caught the virus after vaccination exclaimed how they were glad they were vaccinated cos it might have been worse .... reality is yes it could well have been but not in the way they imagined.
Thanks ... one still has to question that Covid killed anyone on its own? Most literature says those who died had multiple comorbidaties which indicates Covid is not a severe disease..and we know that when appropriate care is given, on time the survival rate is very high... so who can make the determination that they died of Covid?
So by the ABS’s own numbers 9-10 times more people died of/ with covid after vaccination and with a “ milder” version of the virus? That worked well didn’t it! So many who caught the virus after vaccination exclaimed how they were glad they were vaccinated cos it might have been worse .... reality is yes it could well have been but not in the way they imagined.
"By the end of 2021?" ........ the cumulative excess is beyond anything seen in recent history...
Thanks ... one still has to question that Covid killed anyone on its own? Most literature says those who died had multiple comorbidaties which indicates Covid is not a severe disease..and we know that when appropriate care is given, on time the survival rate is very high... so who can make the determination that they died of Covid?